Friday, March 30, 2012

Just read an article in which the guy at celticsblog.com States That Ryan Hollins' Ceiling Could Be Close to Tyson Chandler's Level

http://www.canishoopus.com/2012/3/30/2913919/q-a-with-bill-sy-of-celtics-blog

This is why you NEVER want to listen to a Boston sports fan. The only similar fans I have ever run into are Green Bay Packers fans. Both sets of fans will regularly state ridiculous things about players, just because they are on their teams. After Roger Clemens' first great season, I spoke with a Boston fan about the 24-4 record and 2.48 ERA. He said, "Well, that is just an average year for Clemens. I expect the same thing every year, likely better." When asked to back off of the position that 20 games above .500 with an ERA under 2.50 would not be an average year for Clemens, the fan replied, "No. I see several 30 win years approaching. He could easily go like 250-50 over the next several years."

Clemens, steroids or no, was a great pitcher, but his career average per season is nowhere near the 24-4 2.48 average projected as sort of a "low average" by the Boston fan.

Boston fans over the years have issued other bizarre proclamations, but I never thought I would hear one that brought to mind the Clemens prediction....until now.

Ryan Hollins is 27 1/2 years old. He has had two NBA seasons in which a team has allowed him to play 1,000 minutes. One with the 15 win Timberwolves, and one with the 19 win Cavs. His career PER is 10.7. His career offensive rating is 107 and D rating is 111.

Tyson Chandler is 29 1/2 years old. He has played almost 20,000 minutes in the NBA. His career PER is 15.8 (it is climbing per year still). His career offensive rating is 114, his defensive rating is 101. He is in the top 76 in the history of the NBA in both ratings. He was the starting center for an NBA championship team. He is in the top 10 in the NBA this year in Wins Shares.

Chandler has a multiyear deal and makes $13MM a year. Ryan Hollins was recently released by the Cavaliers.

So, the assessment of this Boston fan is that, because Ryan Hollins plays for the Celtics, while basketball-reference.com says he is very similar to Jelani McCoy and Eric Leckner, Hollins is just an eyelash away from becoming Tyson Chandler -- so, he is close to playing 32 minutes a game and anchoring the defense of an NBA championship team.

Yes. Excellent assessment. Hollins, while only two years younger than Chandler and displaying virutually none of the talent level of Chandler, will suddenly burst upon the NBA scene and become the key cog in the Celtics' return to the NBA title. I, myself, now see that as inevitable as well.

My lord.

HM

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